In the immediate aftermath of the 2016 US election heads around the world are shaking. If not spinning. How could this have happened? How could so many pollsters get it so wrong? What happens next?
It seems to me, sitting north of the United States, that a mere ten days ago Hillary Clinton was cruising to a substantial victory. Analysts and pollsters were illustrating just how difficult it would be for Donald Trump to get the 270 required Electoral College votes. Well, what caused the wheels to fall off?
And there’s some little jerk in the FBI
A keepin’ papers on me six feet high
– Rolling Stones, Fingerprint Files
Evidently a late campaign, October surprise, Hail Mary attempt proved successful when FBI Director James Comey issued a letter to Congress regarding more emails having been found. That’s it, no details, no explanation of what the emails contained, just that there were more. As irresponsible as a pilot stating over the intercom mid-flight that there is no need to panic, thereby essentially guaranteeing panic, the mysterious emails were spun by the Trump team. The letter to Congress came as a surprise to all but the Trump campaign who, I believe, were integral in its release.
From the moment the letter was made public and elaborated upon by Trump, Hillary’s numbers went into free-fall and never recovered. Even with a subsequent ‘all clear’ letter from Comey with a few days left, the damage was done and there was no time to drive home the truth.
Unfortunately dirty pool won the day: FBI 1 – Democracy 0.